Crisis Stability Indices for Adaptive Two-Layer Defenses

Local PDF: ADA344709.pdf

AD Number: ADA344709
Subject Categories: ANTIMISSILE DEFENSE SYSTEMS MILITARY OPERATIONS, STRATEGY AND TACTICS
Corporate Author: LOS ALAMOS NATIONAL LAB NM
Title: Crisis Stability Indices for Adaptive Two-Layer Defenses
Personal Authors: Canavan, Gregory H.
Report Date: MAR 1991
Pages: 35 PAGES
Report Number: LA-11974-MS
Monitor Acronym: X0
Monitor Series: XD
Descriptors: *STABILITY, *ANTIMISSILE DEFENSE SYSTEMS, *STRATEGIC DEFENSE INITIATIVE, NUCLEAR WEAPONS, CRISIS MANAGEMENT, DEFENSE SYSTEMS, BOOST PHASE, STRATEGIC ANALYSIS, SURVIVABILITY, LAUNCHING.
Identifiers: BMDO COLLECTION, U3036, TWO LAYERED DEFENSES, SDI(STRATEGIC DEFENSE INITIATIVE), BOOST PHASE DEFENSES, CRISIS STABILITY
Abstract: This note derives a simple, approximate model that contains most of the features needed to understand the variation of crisis stability indices with defenses. Boost-phase defenses are subtractive; midcourse defenses are preferential and adaptive. Defenses protect some retaliatory missiles, but not enough to retaliate strongly. Missile restrikes penetrate poorly, so most of the first and second strikes are carried by aircraft, which makes discussion of factors that might reduce their pre-launch survivability important.
Limitation Code: APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE
Source Code: 211350
Citation Creation Date: 10 JUN 1998