Interaction of Strategic Defenses with Crisis Stability. Part 2: Applications.
Local PDF: ADA344833.pdf
AD Number: ADA344833
Subject Categories: ANTIMISSILE DEFENSE SYSTEMS
Corporate Author: LOS ALAMOS NATIONAL LAB NM
Title: Interaction of Strategic Defenses with Crisis Stability. Part 2:
Personal Authors: Canavan, Gregory H.
Report Date: 01 MAR 1991
Pages: 60 PAGES
Report Number: LA-11919-MS
Contract Number: W-7405-ENG-36
Monitor Acronym: XF
Monitor Series: XD
Descriptors: *STRATEGIC DEFENSE INITIATIVE, STABILITY, ANTIMISSILE DEFENSE
SYSTEMS, BALLISTIC MISSILE INTERCEPT SYSTEMS, NATIONAL DEFENSE, FORWARD AREA AIR
DEFENSE SYSTEMS, INTERCONTINENTAL BALLISTIC MISSILES.
Identifiers: BMDO COLLECTION, U3033, *CRISIS STABILITY
Abstract: Stability indices produce a picture of the transition from offensive
to defensive deterrence. Now, fixed intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs)
act as a sink; submarine launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) carry the brunt of
retaliation; and aircraft add little. START would shift towards aircraft.
Moderate defenses could suppress SLBMs, but would not protect a significant
number of ICBMs. Retaliation would shift to aircraft, if protected and
penetrating. Combined boost- and midcourse defenses increase stability.
Reductions of heavy ICBMs or launch on warning would have little impact.
Unilateral defenses change crisis indices little, but reduce delivery.
Limitation Code: APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE
Source Code: 211350
Citation Creation Date: 03 JUN 1998